Every college football season is different from the last – well, except for Alabama and Clemson meeting in the CFP Championship. But everything before that is a random shakedown, includes the best online betting sites results for those playing the college football odds.
Teams that were great bets in 2018 may not hold the same value this season, and visa versa when it comes to the worst bets from last year. We look at the teams that made bettors smile and frown in 2018 and if those fortunes will flip this fall:
Washington State Cougars (10-2 ATS in 2018)
The Cougars were the best bet in football last year, including a close cover as 1.5-point chalk in a 28-26 win over Iowa State in the Alamo Bowl. Washington State’s potent offensive attack, which ranked No. 1 in passing per game, helped get past the pointspreads most weeks and the defense overperformed in what was a down year for the Pac-12. Wazzu was an underdog only three times all year, going a perfect 3-0 ATS when getting the points.
VERDICT: The Cougars will have a tough time copying those 2018 profits now that transfer QB Gardner Minshew is gone, along with his record-breaking arm. Fellow grad transfer Gage Gubrud is on track to be the new starter and he will have most of the receiving corps back as well as a reliable offensive line. But WSU isn’t going to catch anyone off guard like it did last year.
Louisville Cardinals (1-11 ATS in 2018)
The Cardinals will be hard pressed to finish with a worse ATS record in 2019 than they did in 2018. Louisville won just two games and finished the season with an average margin of more than -24 points per game. That sent head coach Bobby Petrino packing before the season even ended. There were a lot of weaknesses, but teams were able to run all over the UL defense, which ranked 127th in the country.
VERDICT: Scott Satterfield is the new head coach in Louisville and his background would suggest a heavy helping of ground and pound. That run-heavy playbook also helps with the lack a reliable passing attack. The Cardinals may cover a couple extra games but this is still a poison bet for the college football fans.
Central Florida Knights (9-3 ATS in 2018)
The Knights have been a moneymaker for college football bettors the past three seasons, going a combined 24-11-1 ATS – a near 69% winner against the spread. A potent offensive attack has made them the class of the AAC and despite being the favorite in all 12 games in 2018, they still turned out great profits versus the pointspread.
VERDICT: Josh Heupel is a worthy successor to Scott Frost but has his work cut out for him after losing QB McKenzie Milton for the 2019 season after he sustained a serious knee injury at the end of last year. Without Milton sparking an offense that finished fifth in yards and sixth in scoring, the defense is going to give up too much and spoil those ATS returns.