This is the story of 7 guys who bet the Giants at 60 to 1

February 7th 2011, Super Bowl XLV is in the books; the Green Bay Packers have become the second NFC wild card team ever to win the big game. The Pittsburgh Steelers are going back home with a 31-25 defeat primarily at the hands of Super Bowl MVP and Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who completed 34 of 39 passes for 304 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Fast forward to March 1st, and odds-makers and sports books everywhere are releasing the futures NFL odds for the upcoming football season. Futures are odds that books put up on particular teams to win the championship.

And here’s where it gets interesting, why? Because whatever the odds are when a bettor puts down his money, is what the payoff is based on should the team win the championship. A $100 bet at 60-1, for example, would return $6,000.

Now, before you understand how 7 guys stand to make over $80,000 betting the Giants, you have to have kept a close eye on how the G-Men did during the season.

And herein is the secret to winning at futures. Because as a result of a team’s week-by-week performance, sharp bettors can take advantage of a weak line that can potentially pay off BIG time (and open up a whole can of worms for a book.)

We asked Dave Johnson, head oddsmaker at WagerWeb.com, to give us the inside info on what a Giants win could mean for them. Well, we must have struck a nerve, because he was on pins and needles throughout the conversation.

And with good reason, as you’ll see shortly. But let’s cut to the chase and take a look at how you could cash in on some major fungolas by betting futures.

Before you count your chickens before they hatch, it goes without saying that no bets are in the bag yet. It’s anyone’s call come game day and the Giants still have to prove themselves against the New England Patriots (back in 2007, the Pats beat the Giants in Super Bowl XLII.)

One thing’s for certain though, the right information, at the right time, can give you the upper hand when it comes to betting, which is what inspin.com is all about (that’s if you want to win of course.)

Let’s dive in:

The Giants’ odds to win the Super Bowl open at +1800 or 18 to 1 (a $100 bet would pay $1,800.)

•    Week 1: the G-Men LOSE 28-14 to the Washington Redskins (major OUCH factor, the odds jump to +3500 or 35 to 1.)

•    Week 2: a 28-16 WIN over the Rams leaves the odds at +3500.  

•    Week 3: They beat the Eagles 29-16 and the odds drop to +2200.
 
•    Week 4: another 31-27 WIN over Cardinals has the odds drop even further to +2000 ($100 makes you $2,000)

•    Week 5: a 36-25 loss to the Seattle Seahawks takes the odds rise to +3500 once again. (Clearly there’s not a lot of faith in the Giants going all the way at this point.)

•    Week 6: 27-24 WIN over Buffalo, odds drop to +3000.

•    Week 7: BYE week, the odds stay at +3000.

•    Week 8: 20-17 WIN vs. the Dolphins – odds drop again to +2500.

•    Week 9: a 24-20 WIN vs. the Pats and the odds drop dramatically to +1500. (The Giants are 6-2 at this point and looking very good to make the playoffs; although 15 to 1 has little value, here is where it starts to get interesting.

•    Week 10: they LOSE 27-20 to the 49ers (the odds rise to +2000.)

•    Week 11: another LOSS to Eagles 17-10 takes it back to +3500.

•    Week 12: a 49-24 blowout LOSS to the Saints has the odds rising faster than a New York minute to +6000!

Insider Exclusive: At this point, most people would not think of investing any money on New York however, seven sharp players saw a weakness and betting value. They knew the division was in disarray and had no clear cut leader; the Giants still had a strong shot to win the division and get to the playoffs (and we all know once you get in, its a whole new season.) We saw it last year with the Pack and again this year with New York. According to Dave Johnson, Wagerweb.com took 7 bets totaling $1340 at +6000. This means that if the GMEN win the Super Bowl, they will have to shell out a whopping $80K ($1340 x 60) = $80,400. Yikes! Isn’t it about time you believe in the dream?

•    Week 13: a tough 38-35 loss to the Packers, drop the odds to +4000. Why the significant drop? Because although the GMEN lost, they played tough and the playoffs were still within reach. (In any case, as far as WagerWeb is concerned the damage was already done. The 7 sharp players who saw some life and value at +6000 had made their bets and must be licking their chops waiting for the playoffs.)

•    Week 14: 37-34 WIN vs. Cowboys, odds drop to +2500.

•    Week 15: 23-10 LOSS to the Washington Redskins odds jump to +3000.

•    Week 16: 29-14 WIN vs. the Jets odds drop to +2500.

•    Week 17: 31-14 WIN vs. the Cowboys, odds drop to +1800 and the GMEN lock up the playoffs.

After 17 weeks of vicious competition, bone crunching action and nerve shattering games, the odds are right back to where they were at in pre-season, with very little value to bet. What’s more, after three playoff wins the money line on the Giants is at +120 a $100 bet would make you a whole $120.  

Insiders, what can you learn from this? You already know that a source of good, reliable and accurate information is solid gold. And you might also agree that people touting their NFL picks are a dime a dozen. But you know better than to be distracted by all the shiny objects right?

They say that a fool and his money are easily parted; not so for our group of 7 sharp bettors out who may end up making $80,000 on $1340 worth of bets.

How would you like to become one of them? To sign up to be an Inspin Premium Insider click here

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