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NFL Monday Night Football Preview and Betting Odds Analysis
By Dave Johnson on Dec 05, 2011


 

By: Dave Johnson, Wagerweb.com Oddsmaker

San Diego Chargers (4-7, 1-4 away) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8, 2-3 home)

Philip Rivers and the disappointing San Diego Chargers head to Jacksonville tonight to take on the Jaguars at EverBank Field in Florida.

The Chargers have lost six straight and have dropped to last place in the AFC West. They started the season 4-1 but have stumbled since the bye-week and are now in position to miss the playoffs. Last week vs. the Broncos they lost 16-13 as Tim Tebow and company pulled off another 4th quarter miracle in their drive for a divisional title. The rumor mill has been churning this week and head coach Norv Turner will likely get the proverbial axe once the season has finished.

Jacksonville decided not to wait to season end to implement their changes and will field a new team of coaches as well as a new owner tonight for MNF. Head Coach, Jack del Rio, was fired and replaced this week with interim coach and defensive coordinator, Mel Tucker. Tucker will attempt to inject some life into the Jaguars offense and hope his defense continues to dominate. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense is ranked #4 overall in the NFL allowing only 292.5 yards per game. The offense is a different story and is ranked dead last at 250 yards gained per game.

New prospective owner, Shahid Khan, is expected to be in attendance so the Jaguars may have a new sense of optimism and excitement during the game. Quarterback, Blaine Gabbert, received a vote of confidence from Tucker this week and will start after being benched by del Rio during last week’s loss. The rookie has thrown for 1,371 yards with six touchdowns and six interceptions for a quarterback rating of 62.2.

Let’s take a current look at the line on the game:

San Diego Chargers -3-120

Jacksonville Jaguars +3+100

Over/Under  39.5-110

The NFL odds above are at Wagerweb.com, a leading offshore sportsbook and highly recommended sponsor at Inspin.com. The betting odds are subject to change so please CLICK HERE for updates.

Odds Analysis:

The point spread on this game opened with the Chargers as a -3-110 favorite. Early sharp money forced the bookies to tack on some juice to the ‘three count’ and the current line is Chargers -3-120. The current betting public consensus is also on the favorite at a ratio of 58%. Expect the game to remain -3 up until the kick-off.

The total on the game opened over/under 37.5 -110 and has seen some heavy action. Sharp money on the OVER drove the game during the week up to 38.5-110. The betting public consensus is also on the OVER at a ratio of 62%. The combination of sharp and public money on the OVER has driven the line up to 39.5-110 at 2:00 pm eastern. Expect the line to continue to rise up until the game starts.

Winning Betting Trends:

100% WINNER - Over is 4-0-1 in Chargers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

100% WINNER – Jaguars are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 13.

Click here for all NFL Betting Trends

Featured Player Tweets:

San Diego Chargers Tweets

Takeo Spikes (San Diego Chargers, Linebacker)
About to load up for this Jacksonville trip. I see several dress code violations committed by some guys on the team. Pics coming soon.....

Shaun Phillips (San Diego Chargers, Linebacker)
Great day of work as long as there is faith there is a chance.

Jacksonville Jaguars Tweets

Rod Issac (Jacksonville Jaguars, Cornerback)
Let me hear some predictions for tonight's game Jags vs Chargers MNF

Courtney Greene (Jacksonville Jaguars, Safety)
"oh u going learn today" not to let tebow have the ball at the end of a game

WagerWeb



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