The NFC North should be highly competitive this season. Last season, each of the four teams in the division finished in the bottom five in the NFL in yards per play allowed defensively.
With Aaron Rodgers now in New York, the Lions are favored to win their first division title since 1993.
Here are my OVER/UNDER win total betting predictions for the NFC North with odds provided by FanDuel:
Detroit Lions UNDER 9.5 ( 100)
The Lions were a feel-good story last season, winning six games as an underdog and barely missing the playoffs. Although the defense should be better, I’m not ready to pencil the offense in as one of the top four in the NFL again. It’s also worth noting that the Lions have yet to win more than nine games since 2014.
I don’t see the Lions cruising through the NFC North and outside the division, and this group will have a hard time catching teams by surprise. The schedule has brutal matchups, including road games against the Chiefs, Ravens, Chargers, Saints, and Cowboys. I see the Lions winning eight or nine games in 2023, but not 10 or more.
Minnesota Vikings UNDER 8.5 ( 104)
The Vikings have a challenging early schedule, playing four of their first seven games against the Eagles, Chargers, Chiefs, and 49ers. Road games at Atlanta and Denver will also be tough later on. Minnesota’s last four games on the schedule include a trip to Cincinnati and two games against the Lions.
Almost everything seemed to go right for the Vikings last season, but I see regression in 2023. The under is the play here.
NFC North predictions
|Odds to win NFC North|
|1||Green Bay Packers||+420||Last division title: 2021|
|2||Detroit Lions||+120||Last division title: 1993|
|3||Minnesota Vikings||+330||Last division title: 2022|
|4||Chicago Bears||+380||Last division title: 2018|
Chicago Bears OVER 7.5 (-122)
The Bears went 3-14 last season and ended the season on a 10-game losing streak. Despite their poor record, they went 1-7 in games decided by seven points or less. This group will take a step forward in 2023. If they can win three divisional games, they should be in good shape to reach eight wins.
Their schedule includes home games against the Raiders, Panthers, Cardinals, and Falcons and early season road games against the Buccaneers and Commanders. With Justin Fields taking another step forward, take the Bears to get to eight wins or more.
Green Bay Packers UNDER 7.5 ( 100)
The Packers have a tough schedule this season. Amongst the most significant challenges are road games against the Falcons, Broncos, Steelers, and Giants and home games against the Chargers and Chiefs.
It will be tough for the Packers to win more than one of those games. Whether or not Jordan Love will have this offense ready to keep up with his counterparts in the North is a big question, and considering that this team only went 8-9 with Aaron Rodgers last season, the under is the way to go.
Reminder: the Lions have never won the NFC North. pic.twitter.com/88hMKi74q5
— Vikings Central (@VikesCentral) August 3, 2023
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| Title: 2023 NFC North Over/Win Total Predictions
| Author: David Marotta
| Date: Aug 9th, 2023