In the closing days until Super Bowl 57, the public betting splits are not where you might expect them to be considering the amount of movement on the odds and where they sit right now.
The line originally opened with the Chiefs favored by just 1 point and immediately flipped to the Eagles at 1.5 points. Before the line settled at -1.5 points to the Eagles it flopped back and forth six times before doing so.
Getting into where the public is settling their money on the game, Kansas City is hitting both the spread and the moneyline hard. Chiefs moneyline odds are seeing 66% of bets and 62% of the betting handle. 1.5 points on the Chiefs spread is getting 63% of the bets being placed and 68% of the betting handle.
The only major split on the line is with the 51.5-point total where 67% of bets are on the under, but 76% of the betting handle is on the over.
This is the tenth time that the Kansas City Chiefs will go up against the Philadelphia Eagles in history and lead that series 5-4 thus far including the last three meetings. The last six games between the two have all been decided by a touchdown margin or more. Also, only seven of those games have gone over the 51.5-point total.
The two teams differ in terms of how they performed against the spread this season with the Eagles at 10-9 and the Chiefs a bit behind them at 7-11-1. They both have similar records on the point totals as well as Philly is at 10-9 and the Chiefs are at 8-11.
They are both though top teams with the highest winning margins. Philly leads the league beating teams this season at a 9.9-point margin while Kansas City’s margin is 7.2 points.
Other trends to keep in mind going into the Super Bowl are the Kansas City Chiefs going 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record. On the Philly side, they are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine playoff games and their last nine games against a team with a record above .500.
On the point total side, in the last five meetings between the Chiefs and Eagles have seen four of them hit the over on the projected point total.
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) February 10, 2023
Click here to see the pick on your profile!
The INSPIN simulation model, which simulates every NFL Football game thousands’ of times, is up +38.5 units over the last three years. We have released 388 total games with 209 WINS and 179 losses ATS for a win % of 53.87%. A $100 bettor of our NFL games would have netted a profit of $3,850 and, a $1,000 bettor would have won $38,500 just on the NFL picks. Now is the time to sign-up and start winning.
| Title: Final Super Bowl Public Splits Going Into SB57
| Author: Sam Profeta
| Date: Feb 10, 2023