betting advice

Week 4 TNF Public Splits And Trend: Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Miami Dolphins | News Article by Inspin.com

 

The NFL will commence Week 4 with what should be an explosive Thursday Night Football matchup between the streaking 3-0 Miami Dolphins and 1-2 defending AFC Champions, the Cincinnati Bengals.

Despite being undefeated, Miami is going into this one as a pretty significant 4-point underdog and the public has been all over their odds to win.

 

Click on the image to check the live odds

Click the image for live odds

 

This could be a trap game though as the line went from 1.5 points at first opening down to the four points it is at now even with the public laying heavy action on Miami.

To be more specific, the Dolphins are taking 64% of total spread bets and 58% of the total money on the spread. On the moneyline, they are taking 77% of bets and 73% of the money on their 165 odds.

Even with the line moving in favor of Miami, the Phins have done a nice job in backing up their odds historically on the trends. When playing on Thursday Night Football, they have a 13-10 all-time record and won their last two TNF games in 2020 and 2021.

Also, an underdog spread on the road between 4-5 points has been very beneficial for Miami as they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in that scenario in their last five games. The Dolphins have also been red hot against the spread to start the season as one of just three undefeated teams ATS at 3-0.

As for the Bengals, they’ve been on the fence in their recent Thursday Night Football matchups. Since 2016, they’ve gone 3-2 and have won every other season.

With last season being a win for them, on paper, if the trend were to continue a loss could be in their cards. Since Joe Burrow joined the Bengals in 2020 as well, they’ve struggled when going into games at home as a favorite overall.

Aside from the team trends, there are matchup trends to consider as well. That includes the Dolphins holding the advantage over the Bengals on the all-time series 17-7.

The Dolphins are also 5-2 against the spread versus the Bengals in their last seven meetings overall. On the game total for points, the under has gone 5-1-1 in their last seven meetings. The under has also hit in their last five meetings against each other when playing in Cincinnati.

All in all, Miami has looked like the much better team this season with their 27.7 ppg compared to Cincinnati’s 21.3.

 

Click here to see the pick on your profile!

The INSPIN simulation model, which simulates every NFL Football game thousands’ of times, is up +38.5 units over the last three years. We have released 388 total games with 209 WINS and 179 losses ATS for a win % of 53.87%. A $100 bettor of our NFL would have netted a profit of $3,850 and, a $1,000 bettor would have won $38,500 just on the NFL picks. Now is the time to sign-up and start winning.

| Title: Week 4 TNF Public Splits And Trend: Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Miami Dolphins
| Author: Sam Profeta
| Date: Sep 29, 2022

September 29, 2022

Week 4 TNF Public Splits And Trend: Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Miami Dolphins

  The NFL will commence Week 4 with what should be an explosive Thursday Night Football matchup between the streaking 3-0 Miami Dolphins and 1-2 defending […]
September 28, 2022

Getting In On The Philadelphia Eagles Odds Before Its Too Late

The Philadelphia Eagles are flying high after their Week 3 victory over the Washington Commanders as they are now just one of two undefeated teams remaining […]
September 22, 2022

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Preview

  Through two weeks, only six NFL teams remain undefeated out of 32. Following Week 3, at least one of those teams will be tacking on […]
September 21, 2022

Week 3 TNF Preview: Cleveland Browns Vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

  Week 3 of the NFL season will kick off with a Thursday Night Football matchup between the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers in Cleveland where […]