The 2019 Major League Baseball season comes to a close this weekend, giving way to exiting postseason October ball. But before we hang the bunting, let’s look back at some of the MLB best online betting sites and their best bets on the board and why those clubs were so profitable this year.
Best moneyline bet: Oakland A’s +24.7 units
The Athletics were a shocker in 2019, making a run at the Astros in the American League West and bringing bettors along for the ride. Oakland enters the weekend with 96 wins and is currently hunting for a spot in the AL Wild Card game, fighting off Tampa Bay and Cleveland for home-field in the single game play-in.
The A’s are 33-30 as moneyline pups this season, turning in a plus-money profit while going 63-33 when set as moneyline favorites. But unlike teams like the Yankees and Astros, the Athletics price tag as the chalk is most often moderate, which ensured solid ROI for Bay Area backers. Oakland is one of the most balanced clubs in the bigs, ranked eighth in offense (5.28 runs for) and sixth in ERA (4.00), and backed by the fourth best bullpen in the Junior Circuit.
Best runline bet: Oakland A’s +22.4 units
Hey, what do you know? Oakland is also awesome against baseball version of the pointspread, posting a 91-68 record against the runline heading into this weekend’s final games. As hinted to above, the Athletics are great on both side of the plate, boasting an average winning margin of 1.3 runs an outing.
Looking deeper into their runline results, the A’s are 47-49 as runline favorites – giving the -1.5 runs – however since that handicap most often comes with a plus-money vig, Oakland backers were up unit despite that losing ATS mark as a fave. Oakland is 44-19 as a runline underdog – receiving the +1.5 runs – and while that cushion often comes with extra juice, the Athletics have been worth the spend.
Best Over bet: Pittsburgh Pirates 91-62-6 O/U
There haven’t been many memorable moments for the Pirates in 2019, unless you were betting the Over in their contests. Pittsburgh sits at the bottom of a very competitive National League Central, giving up 5.21 runs per outing – which sits near the bottom of the big leagues. For that same reason, the Bucs have made big bucks for Over backers.
The Pirates score an average of 4.71 runs an outing, which is only 20th in the majors, but that dismal pitching staff and broken bullpen (4.95 ERA) was just bad enough to push final scores over the number most nights. Even with the markets correcting, Pittsburgh continues to go Over more often, taking a 13-10 O/U record for September into the weekend.
Best Under bet: Cincinnati Reds 60-91-8 O/U
The NL Central is one wild division. Even without the heated playoff races, total bettors got their money’s worth out of this division in 2019. While the Pirates were on one end of the Over/Under scale, the Reds found themselves on the far end most days. Cincinnati enters the final three games of the year with the best Under results, staying below the total better than 60% of the time.
The Reds bats push an anemic 4.3 runs across home plate on the year, hitting just .244. On the mound, Cincy is steady. The club ranks 10th in team ERA (4.22) and is supported by an OK bullpen that stand in the middle of the road in terms of statistics. Those Under results keep coming in, with 13 of their 24 games this month staying below the number.