The best teams in baseball can win no matter the surroundings. The best bets, however, are a different story. Some teams thrive at home while blowing away bankrolls on the road. Other squads can’t give their hometown faithful a win but seem to play up to the challenge as visitors.
The Astros are by no means a bad home team. But at just .575 inside Minute Maid Park and with the lofty moneylines Houston has been handed since catching fire in the early workings of the schedule, the Astros are down -2.24 units as hosts.
Away from home is where Houston has made its mark, posting just nine road losses and stacking an incredible +19.05 units in enemy territory. The Astros have a ho-hum 4.21 ERA on the road but are countering that by scoring nearly seven runs per away game, hitting a MLB-best .288 BA in opposing parks.
Houston has been helped out by the weak American League West, not getting much push-back inside those rival ballparks, and will have a chance to bolster that impressive road mark with a six-game road swing at Atlanta and Toronto before the All-Star break.
Arizona Diamondbacks (30-10 at home, 20-18 away)
The Diamondbacks are perhaps the biggest surprise of the first three months of baseball, running to the top of the National League behind a dominant home mark. Arizona has earned bettors more than +18 units inside Chase Field, but hasn’t had the same success away from the desert. The D-backs are just two game over .500 as visitors and in the black for +3.37 units.
Arizona has been the complete package at home, boasting a collective ERA of 3.43 while averaging 6.3 runs per home stand. That scoring production drops to an average of 4.2 runs on the road while the staff ERA actually slims to 3.24.
Arizona can add to that home record with eight of the next 11 games before the break coming in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks host the Cardinals, Rockies and Reds before the Mid-Summer Classic.
Minnesota Twins (16-25 at home, 23-11 away)
The Twins are one of the worst two-faced teams in baseball, when it comes to their home and away success. Minnesota hasn’t given the home fans much to cheer about in the first half of the season, blowing more than -11 units inside Target Field. The Twinkies are plating more than 4.5 runs per game but the pitching staff has been beaten up to the tune of a 5.51 ERA – worst home ERA in the bigs.
But, put the Twins on a plane, and the club is up +17.5 units as a visitor. Minnesota’s road work has produced a respectable 3.96 ERA away from home as well as 4.5 runs per game – just enough to build a solid bankroll for those rolling the dice on Minny as the visitor.
Much like the Astros, the Twins have taken advantage of a sub-par year from the American League Central. However, both the Indians and Royals have shown recent signs of life, so the good times could be coming to an end for Minnesota. The Twins are currently on the road at Boston and Kansas City, before returning home for a seven-game stand versus the Angels and Orioles before the All-Star break.